Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.251672 3.806250 4.394589 5.062042 5.795063 6.572538 7.456437
2025-01-19 2.367387 3.114658 3.966953 4.997175 6.195117 7.531277 9.121251
2025-01-26 1.842011 2.704464 3.754784 5.094929 6.726969 8.619506 10.949182
2025-02-02 1.460596 2.384888 3.581727 5.183850 7.212938 9.641898 12.713303
2025-02-09 1.100671 2.017560 3.283830 5.061955 7.400098 10.282712 14.017215
2025-02-16 0.829401 1.715362 3.020743 4.939390 7.550727 10.855718 15.228643
2025-02-23 0.654576 1.520056 2.873839 4.945166 7.848016 11.602575 16.655993
2025-03-02 0.496831 1.314595 2.679295 4.855743 7.996426 12.145553 17.822304
2025-03-09 0.425930 1.247525 2.686806 5.051658 8.534659 13.203258 19.661773
2025-03-16 0.335285 1.118106 2.573814 5.051492 8.787661 13.878592 21.009035
2025-03-23 0.296978 1.088705 2.624097 5.300658 9.400267 15.046686 23.018579
2025-03-30 0.259925 1.052262 2.655740 5.517677 9.968013 16.160718 24.970368
2025-04-06 0.211533 0.976329 2.610325 5.612622 10.367209 17.064669 26.677967
2025-04-13 0.157197 0.863603 2.479865 5.555980 10.533884 17.646587 27.961782
2025-04-20 0.126855 0.807221 2.451581 5.666976 10.955398 18.591929 29.750855
2025-04-27 0.101034 0.752904 2.419098 5.765288 11.355909 19.510623 31.512445
2025-05-04 0.067930 0.649877 2.265627 5.635488 11.389308 19.898326 32.543495
2025-05-11 0.043481 0.558080 2.119532 5.504191 11.409331 20.260316 33.537433
2025-05-18 0.029974 0.503655 2.051333 5.510660 11.648053 20.942314 34.983755
2025-05-25 0.017709 0.435647 1.935408 5.414521 11.710591 21.360360 36.059191
2025-06-01 0.014300 0.427319 1.975043 5.625405 12.288967 22.555269 38.248636
2025-06-08 0.008598 0.384514 1.912179 5.625252 12.509241 23.213376 39.678300
2025-06-15 0.007291 0.387043 1.979260 5.893131 13.191147 24.577531 42.131784